JK Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultParnu JK Vaprus U21 to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.99
JK Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 preview and prediction
The match
JK Tabasalu host Parnu JK Vaprus U21 in the Esiliiga B on Sunday 5 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). JK Tabasalu are 8th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 sit 6th on 53 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
JK Tabasalu's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Tallinna Wolves 10–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Parnu JK Vaprus U21's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Legion 4–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
JK Tabasalu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished JK Tabasalu 1–2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.7 for JK Tabasalu and 2.6 for Parnu JK Vaprus U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: JK Tabasalu 28%, draw 14%, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 58%.
Value angle: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: JK Tabasalu 1–2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JK Tabasalu28%fair 3.63 · @2.70
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @4.33
Parnu JK Vaprus U2158%fair 1.71 · @1.95
4.32Expected goals
1.74JK Tabasalu xG
2.59Parnu JK Vaprus U21 xG
62%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
2–27%
1–37%
1–16%
2–36%
2–15%
From our goals model: JK Tabasalu 1.7 – 2.6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for JK Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win JK Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
On our numbers JK Tabasalu have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 58%.
How many goals will there be in JK Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JK Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
Our predicted score is JK Tabasalu 1–2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is JK Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21?
JK Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
