Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.38
Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix preview and prediction
The match
The Esiliiga B sees Tartu Kalev take on Johvi Phoenix on Saturday 4 July, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Tartu Kalev's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to JK Tabasalu 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Johvi Phoenix's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Levadia U19 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Johvi Phoenix 4–3 Tartu Kalev.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.6 for Tartu Kalev and 2.0 for Johvi Phoenix. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 82% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tartu Kalev 55%, draw 13%, Johvi Phoenix 33%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tartu Kalev to win – a 55% chance at odds of 2.90, above our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tartu Kalev 2–1 Johvi Phoenix. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tartu Kalev55%fair 1.83 · @2.90
Draw13%fair 7.80 · @4.33
Johvi Phoenix33%fair 3.06 · @1.85
4.54Expected goals
2.57Tartu Kalev xG
1.97Johvi Phoenix xG
64%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
2–27%
3–16%
3–26%
1–15%
1–25%
From our goals model: Tartu Kalev 2.6 – 2.0 Johvi Phoenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
Our pick is Tartu Kalev to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.90.
Who will win Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
On our numbers Tartu Kalev have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Johvi Phoenix 33%.
How many goals will there be in Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
Our predicted score is Tartu Kalev 2–1 Johvi Phoenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix?
Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
