Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNarva U21 to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev preview and prediction
The match
Narva U21 host Tartu Kalev in the Esiliiga B on Thursday 18 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Narva U21 are 1st with 76 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Tartu Kalev sit 7th on 50 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Narva U21's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat JK Tabasalu 5–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tartu Kalev's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Tulevik 3–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Tartu Kalev arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.8 for Narva U21 and 1.4 for Tartu Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 78% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Narva U21 68%, draw 13%, Tartu Kalev 19%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Narva U21 2–1 Tartu Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Narva U2168%fair 1.48 · @1.57
Draw13%fair 7.46 · @4.75
Tartu Kalev19%fair 5.28 · @3.80
4.16Expected goals
2.76Narva U21 xG
1.40Tartu Kalev xG
56%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
1–16%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Narva U21 2.8 – 1.4 Tartu Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Narva U21 to win✓
68%
1.48
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Narva U21 ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Narva U21 / FT Narva U21✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.01
–
Form
Narva U21 – last 6
WDLLDL
31 May
vs JK Tabasalu
5–0
W
28 May
vs Johvi Phoenix
1–1
D
24 May
@ Luunja
1–2
L
17 May
@ Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0–4
L
10 May
vs Levadia U19
4–4
D
6 May
@ JK Tabasalu
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tartu Kalev – last 6
LWLWWL
13 Jun
vs Tulevik
3–4
L
10 Jun
vs Paide III
2–1
W
1 Jun
@ Tallinna Kalev II
2–7
L
29 May
vs Levadia U19
2–0
W
24 May
@ Legion
6–0
W
10 May
vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Narva U21 and Tartu Kalev.
What is the prediction for Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev?
On our numbers Narva U21 have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Tartu Kalev 19%.
How many goals will there be in Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev?
Our predicted score is Narva U21 2–1 Tartu Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev?
Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Johvi Phoenix6