Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Legion vs Tartu Kalev preview and prediction
The match
Tartu Kalev travel to face Legion in the Esiliiga B on Sunday 24 May (10:30 WAT). Legion are 10th with 19 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Tartu Kalev sit 7th on 50 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Legion's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Narva U21 0–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Tartu Kalev's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Parnu JK Vaprus U21 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.2 for Legion and 2.8 for Tartu Kalev. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Legion 13%, draw 18%, Tartu Kalev 69%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 91% chance. Predicted score: Legion 1–2 Tartu Kalev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Legion13%fair 7.87 · @8.50
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @8.00
Tartu Kalev69%fair 1.44 · @1.15
4.00Expected goals
1.20Legion xG
2.80Tartu Kalev xG
55%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Legion 1.2 – 2.8 Tartu Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tartu Kalev to win✓
69%
1.44
1.15
Double chance
Tartu Kalev or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Tartu Kalev ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tartu Kalev / FT Tartu Kalev✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
Legion – last 6
LWWDLL
2 May
@ Narva U21
0–5
L
27 Apr
vs Johvi Phoenix
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs JK Tabasalu
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Luunja
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Levadia U19
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tartu Kalev – last 6
LLLLWW
10 May
vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1–2
L
1 May
@ Johvi Phoenix
3–4
L
28 Apr
@ Levadia U19
1–3
L
24 Apr
vs Tallinna Kalev II
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Luunja
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Tulevik
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legion and Tartu Kalev.
On our numbers Legion have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tartu Kalev 69%.
How many goals will there be in Legion vs Tartu Kalev?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legion vs Tartu Kalev?
Our predicted score is Legion 1–2 Tartu Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Legion vs Tartu Kalev?
Legion vs Tartu Kalev (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
