Value bet: Tallinna Kalev II to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTallinna Kalev II to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu preview and prediction
The match
JK Tabasalu travel to face Tallinna Kalev II in the Esiliiga B on Saturday 2 May (10:30 WAT). Tallinna Kalev II are 9th with 33 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while JK Tabasalu sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tallinna Kalev II's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
JK Tabasalu's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Legion 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.4 for Tallinna Kalev II and 1.6 for JK Tabasalu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tallinna Kalev II 56%, draw 19%, JK Tabasalu 25%.
Value angle: Tallinna Kalev II to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Tallinna Kalev II 2–1 JK Tabasalu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tallinna Kalev II56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.10
JK Tabasalu25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
4.08Expected goals
2.44Tallinna Kalev II xG
1.63JK Tabasalu xG
57%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
3–26%
From our goals model: Tallinna Kalev II 2.4 – 1.6 JK Tabasalu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tallinna Kalev II to win✗
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Tallinna Kalev II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tallinna Kalev II / FT Tallinna Kalev II✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.09
–
Form
Tallinna Kalev II – last 4
LWLL
28 Apr
vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2–3
L
24 Apr
@ Tartu Kalev
3–1
W
4 Apr
@ Narva U21
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Maardu
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
JK Tabasalu – last 4
LLWL
24 Apr
@ Legion
2–3
L
11 Apr
vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Levadia U19
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Luunja
3–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tallinna Kalev II and JK Tabasalu.
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu?
On our numbers Tallinna Kalev II have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and JK Tabasalu 25%.
How many goals will there be in Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu?
Our predicted score is Tallinna Kalev II 2–1 JK Tabasalu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu?
Tallinna Kalev II vs JK Tabasalu (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
