Value bet: JK Tabasalu to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJK Tabasalu to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Legion vs JK Tabasalu preview and prediction
The match
JK Tabasalu travel to face Legion in the Esiliiga B on Friday 24 April (16:00 WAT). Legion are 10th with 19 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while JK Tabasalu sit 8th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Legion's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with Parnu JK Vaprus U21 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
JK Tabasalu's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Parnu JK Vaprus U21 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
JK Tabasalu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.3 for Legion and 2.3 for JK Tabasalu. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Legion 22%, draw 19%, JK Tabasalu 59%.
Value angle: JK Tabasalu to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Legion 1–2 JK Tabasalu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Legion22%fair 4.61 · @2.90
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.10
JK Tabasalu59%fair 1.70 · @1.90
3.65Expected goals
1.35Legion xG
2.30JK Tabasalu xG
54%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Legion 1.3 – 2.3 JK Tabasalu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JK Tabasalu to win✗
59%
1.70
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
JK Tabasalu ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JK Tabasalu / FT JK Tabasalu✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Legion – last 4
DLLL
19 Apr
@ Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Luunja
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Levadia U19
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Tulevik
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
JK Tabasalu – last 3
LWL
11 Apr
vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Levadia U19
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Luunja
3–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legion and JK Tabasalu.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Legion vs JK Tabasalu?
On our numbers Legion have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and JK Tabasalu 59%.
How many goals will there be in Legion vs JK Tabasalu?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legion vs JK Tabasalu?
Our predicted score is Legion 1–2 JK Tabasalu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Legion vs JK Tabasalu?
Legion vs JK Tabasalu (Esiliiga B) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
