Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Sao Jose to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovo Hamburgo to win ✓37% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.09
Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose preview and prediction
The match
Sao Jose travel to Estadio do Vale in the Gaúcho 1 on Sunday 15 February (00:00 WAT) to face Novo Hamburgo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Novo Hamburgo and 1.0 for Sao Jose. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Novo Hamburgo 37%, draw 26%, Sao Jose 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Sao Jose to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Novo Hamburgo 0–0 Sao Jose. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novo Hamburgo37%fair 2.68 · @2.35
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.88
Sao Jose37%fair 2.71 · @3.10
1.92Expected goals
0.97Novo Hamburgo xG
0.96Sao Jose xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Novo Hamburgo 1.0 – 1.0 Sao Jose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novo Hamburgo to win✓
37%
2.68
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.09
–
Form
Novo Hamburgo
No recent results on record.
Sao Jose
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novo Hamburgo and Sao Jose.
What is the prediction for Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
On our numbers Novo Hamburgo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sao Jose 37%.
How many goals will there be in Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
Our predicted score is Novo Hamburgo 0–0 Sao Jose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose?
Novo Hamburgo vs Sao Jose (Gaúcho 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Vale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gaúcho 1 · Brazil · Estadio do Vale
Gremio1
Juventude1