ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
ATK Mohun Bagan or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: ATK Mohun Bagan to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultATK Mohun Bagan to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.91
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II preview and prediction
The match
The Indian Super League sees ATK Mohun Bagan take on East Bengal II on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan. ATK Mohun Bagan are 1st with 12 points from 5 games (top of the table), while East Bengal II sit 6th on 6 points (in the top half).
Form guide
ATK Mohun Bagan's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Inter Kashi 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
East Bengal II's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Minerva Punjab 0–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
East Bengal II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.9 for East Bengal II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ATK Mohun Bagan 60%, draw 26%, East Bengal II 15%.
Safer route: ATK Mohun Bagan or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: ATK Mohun Bagan to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ATK Mohun Bagan or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 East Bengal II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ATK Mohun Bagan60%fair 1.67 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.45
East Bengal II15%fair 6.80 · @3.55
2.85Expected goals
1.95ATK Mohun Bagan xG
0.90East Bengal II xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 2.0 – 0.9 East Bengal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ATK Mohun Bagan to win✗
60%
1.67
1.90 ▲
Double chance
ATK Mohun Bagan or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
ATK Mohun Bagan ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.91
–
Form
ATK Mohun Bagan – last 6
DDDLWW
12 May
vs Inter Kashi
0–0
D
9 May
@ Goa
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Jamshedpur
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Mumbai City
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Odisha
5–1
W
23 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
East Bengal II – last 6
DWWDWD
11 May
vs Minerva Punjab
0–0
D
5 May
@ Mumbai City
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Odisha
3–0
W
16 Apr
vs Bengaluru
3–3
D
23 Mar
vs Mohammedan
7–0
W
14 Mar
vs Kerala Blasters
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal II.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
Our pick is ATK Mohun Bagan or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and East Bengal II 15%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 East Bengal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal II (Indian Super League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
