Value bet: East Bengal II to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEast Bengal II to win ✗60% · @1.77
Double chanceEast Bengal II or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.90
East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab preview and prediction
The match
Minerva Punjab travel to Salt Lake Stadium in the Indian Super League on Monday 11 May (15:00 WAT) to face East Bengal II. East Bengal II are 6th with 6 points from 3 games (in the top half), while Minerva Punjab sit 5th on 7 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
East Bengal II's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Mumbai City 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Minerva Punjab's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Chennaiyin 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for East Bengal II and 0.9 for Minerva Punjab. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: East Bengal II 60%, draw 24%, Minerva Punjab 16%.
Safer route: East Bengal II or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: East Bengal II to win at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: East Bengal II 2–0 Minerva Punjab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
East Bengal II60%fair 1.65 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50
Minerva Punjab16%fair 6.22 · @4.00
2.85Expected goals
1.94East Bengal II xG
0.91Minerva Punjab xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: East Bengal II 1.9 – 0.9 Minerva Punjab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
East Bengal II to win✗
60%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Double chance
East Bengal II or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Half-time result
East Bengal II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT East Bengal II / FT East Bengal II✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.90
–
Form
East Bengal II – last 6
WWDWDD
5 May
@ Mumbai City
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Odisha
3–0
W
16 Apr
vs Bengaluru
3–3
D
23 Mar
vs Mohammedan
7–0
W
14 Mar
vs Kerala Blasters
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Goa
0–0
D
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Minerva Punjab – last 6
WWWDDW
6 May
vs Chennaiyin
1–0
W
20 Apr
vs Inter Kashi
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Mohammedan
2–1
W
16 Mar
vs Goa
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs NorthEast United
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Bengaluru
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between East Bengal II and Minerva Punjab.
What is the prediction for East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
On our numbers East Bengal II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Minerva Punjab 16%.
How many goals will there be in East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
Our predicted score is East Bengal II 2–0 Minerva Punjab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab (Indian Super League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Salt Lake Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
