Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOdisha to win ✗62% · @1.53
Double chanceOdisha or draw ✓87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.03
Odisha vs Mohammedan preview and prediction
The match
The Indian Super League sees Odisha take on Mohammedan on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Kalinga Stadium.
Form guide
Odisha's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Goa 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mohammedan's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Inter Kashi 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Odisha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Odisha and 0.9 for Mohammedan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Odisha 2–0 Mohammedan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Odisha62%fair 1.62 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.75
Mohammedan13%fair 7.42 · @5.75
2.93Expected goals
2.04Odisha xG
0.89Mohammedan xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Odisha 2.0 – 0.9 Mohammedan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Odisha to win✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Double chance
Odisha or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Half-time result
Odisha ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Odisha / FT Odisha✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.03
–
Form
Odisha – last 6
LLWLDD
10 Apr
@ Goa
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Mumbai City
0–1
L
20 Mar
@ NorthEast United
4–1
W
6 Mar
@ ATK Mohun Bagan
1–5
L
1 Mar
vs Chennaiyin
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Inter Kashi
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mohammedan – last 6
LLLLLL
12 Apr
@ Inter Kashi
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Minerva Punjab
1–2
L
23 Mar
@ East Bengal II
0–7
L
7 Mar
vs Bengaluru
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Goa
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Jamshedpur
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Odisha and Mohammedan.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Odisha vs Mohammedan?
On our numbers Odisha have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mohammedan 13%.
How many goals will there be in Odisha vs Mohammedan?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Odisha vs Mohammedan?
Our predicted score is Odisha 2–0 Mohammedan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Odisha vs Mohammedan?
Odisha vs Mohammedan (Indian Super League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kalinga Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
