ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab prediction & analysis
74%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultATK Mohun Bagan to win66% · @1.48
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.76
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab preview and prediction
The match
ATK Mohun Bagan host Minerva Punjab in the Indian Super League on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan. ATK Mohun Bagan are 1st with 12 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Minerva Punjab sit 5th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
ATK Mohun Bagan's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Jamshedpur 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Minerva Punjab's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Mohammedan 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.7 for Minerva Punjab. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Minerva Punjab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ATK Mohun Bagan66%fair 1.52 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.65
Minerva Punjab12%fair 8.48 · @7.00
2.54Expected goals
1.88ATK Mohun Bagan xG
0.66Minerva Punjab xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 1.9 – 0.7 Minerva Punjab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ATK Mohun Bagan to win
66%
1.52
1.48
Double chance
ATK Mohun Bagan or draw
88%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
ATK Mohun Bagan ahead at half-time
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.76
–
Form
ATK Mohun Bagan – last 5
DLWWW
4 Apr
@ Jamshedpur
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Mumbai City
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Odisha
5–1
W
23 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kerala Blasters
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Minerva Punjab – last 5
WDDWL
3 Apr
vs Mohammedan
2–1
W
16 Mar
vs Goa
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs NorthEast United
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Bengaluru
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Jamshedpur
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ATK Mohun Bagan and Minerva Punjab.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Minerva Punjab 12%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 1–0 Minerva Punjab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab (Indian Super League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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