ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City preview and prediction
The match
Mumbai City travel to Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan in the Indian Super League on Friday 20 March (15:00 WAT) to face ATK Mohun Bagan. ATK Mohun Bagan are 1st with 12 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Mumbai City sit 12th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
ATK Mohun Bagan's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Odisha 5–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mumbai City's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Inter Kashi 2–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ATK Mohun Bagan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.7 for Mumbai City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: ATK Mohun Bagan 2–0 Mumbai City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ATK Mohun Bagan67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.90
Mumbai City10%fair 10.33 · @5.25
2.82Expected goals
2.09ATK Mohun Bagan xG
0.73Mumbai City xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 2.1 – 0.7 Mumbai City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ATK Mohun Bagan to win✗
67%
1.50
1.53
Double chance
ATK Mohun Bagan or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Half-time result
ATK Mohun Bagan ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
ATK Mohun Bagan – last 3
WWW
6 Mar
vs Odisha
5–1
W
23 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kerala Blasters
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mumbai City – last 5
WDDWW
15 Mar
@ Inter Kashi
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs SC Delhi
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs NorthEast United
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Kerala Blasters
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ATK Mohun Bagan and Mumbai City.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mumbai City 10%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 2–0 Mumbai City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mumbai City (Indian Super League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
