ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.91
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultATK Mohun Bagan to win77% · @1.08
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012% · fair 8.59
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan preview and prediction
The match
ATK Mohun Bagan host Mohammedan in the Indian Super League on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.2 for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.5 for Mohammedan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 60%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ATK Mohun Bagan 2–0 Mohammedan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ATK Mohun Bagan77%fair 1.30 · @1.08
Draw14%fair 7.11 · @7.25
Mohammedan9%fair 11.41 · @26.00
2.68Expected goals
2.17ATK Mohun Bagan xG
0.51Mohammedan xG
46%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–015%
3–012%
2–18%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: ATK Mohun Bagan 2.2 – 0.5 Mohammedan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ATK Mohun Bagan to win
77%
1.30
1.08
Double chance
ATK Mohun Bagan or draw
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.85
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Half-time result
ATK Mohun Bagan ahead at half-time
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ATK Mohun Bagan / FT ATK Mohun Bagan
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
12%
8.59
–
Form
ATK Mohun Bagan – last 2
WW
23 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kerala Blasters
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mohammedan – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Goa
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Jamshedpur
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ATK Mohun Bagan and Mohammedan.
What is the prediction for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
On our numbers ATK Mohun Bagan have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Mohammedan 9%.
How many goals will there be in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
Our predicted score is ATK Mohun Bagan 2–0 Mohammedan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan?
ATK Mohun Bagan vs Mohammedan (Indian Super League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
