Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Mumbai City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.27Odds
2
Value bet: Mumbai City to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMumbai City to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceMumbai City or draw ✓86% · @1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓20% · fair 5.04
Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City preview and prediction
The match
Mumbai City travel to Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium in the Indian Super League on Sunday 22 February (15:00 WAT) to face Kerala Blasters. Kerala Blasters are 9th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Mumbai City sit 12th on 2 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.5 for Kerala Blasters and 1.5 for Mumbai City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kerala Blasters 14%, draw 22%, Mumbai City 64%.
Safer route: Mumbai City or draw (86%) at 1.27.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Mumbai City to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mumbai City or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.27, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kerala Blasters 0–1 Mumbai City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kerala Blasters14%fair 7.04 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
Mumbai City64%fair 1.57 · @1.95
2.03Expected goals
0.52Kerala Blasters xG
1.51Mumbai City xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–215%
0–013%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Kerala Blasters 0.5 – 1.5 Mumbai City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mumbai City to win✓
64%
1.57
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Mumbai City or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.27 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mumbai City / FT Mumbai City✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
20%
5.04
–
Form
Kerala Blasters – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ ATK Mohun Bagan
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mumbai City – last 1
W
19 Feb
vs Chennaiyin
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kerala Blasters and Mumbai City.
What is the prediction for Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City?
Our pick is Mumbai City or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City?
On our numbers Kerala Blasters have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mumbai City 64%.
How many goals will there be in Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City?
Our predicted score is Kerala Blasters 0–1 Mumbai City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City?
Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City (Indian Super League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
