Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampaio Corrêa RJ to win ✗37% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.11
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu preview and prediction
The match
The Carioca 1 sees Sampaio Corrêa RJ take on Nova Iguaçu on Tuesday 24 February, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Lourival Gomes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ and 1.1 for Nova Iguaçu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–1 Nova Iguaçu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampaio Corrêa RJ37%fair 2.70 · @2.58
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @2.95
Nova Iguaçu33%fair 3.06 · @2.76
2.38Expected goals
1.26Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
1.11Nova Iguaçu xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.3 – 1.1 Nova Iguaçu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Corrêa RJ to win✗
37%
2.70
2.58
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampaio Corrêa RJ / FT Sampaio Corrêa RJ✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.11
–
Form
Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Portuguesa RJ
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nova Iguaçu – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs CFRJ Maricá
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Corrêa RJ and Nova Iguaçu.
What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
On our numbers Sampaio Corrêa RJ have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Nova Iguaçu 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
Our predicted score is Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1–1 Nova Iguaçu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu?
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu (Carioca 1) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lourival Gomes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estadio Lourival Gomes
