Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Mes Kerman to win @ 4.20 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFard Alborz to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.60
Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman preview and prediction
The match
The Azadegan League sees Fard Alborz take on Mes Kerman on Tuesday 2 June, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Fard Alborz are 3rd with 17 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Mes Kerman sit 13th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fard Alborz's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Naft Bandar Abbas 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mes Kerman's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to Nassaji Mazandaran 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fard Alborz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.3 goals: 0.8 for Fard Alborz and 0.5 for Mes Kerman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 82% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fard Alborz 46%, draw 26%, Mes Kerman 29%.
Value angle: Mes Kerman to win at 4.20 – 29% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fard Alborz 0–0 Mes Kerman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fard Alborz46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.60
Mes Kerman29%fair 3.50 · @4.20
1.27Expected goals
0.77Fard Alborz xG
0.50Mes Kerman xG
35%Both score
18%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–028%
1–022%
0–114%
1–111%
2–08%
2–14%
From our goals model: Fard Alborz 0.8 – 0.5 Mes Kerman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fard Alborz to win✗
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
62%
1.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.60
–
Form
Fard Alborz – last 5
LWDLW
27 May
@ Naft Bandar Abbas
0–1
L
21 May
vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
1–0
W
14 May
@ Shahrdari Noshahr
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Havadar
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
0.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mes Kerman – last 4
LDLD
27 May
vs Nassaji Mazandaran
1–2
L
21 May
@ Ario Eslamshahr
0–0
D
14 May
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Mes Soongoun
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fard Alborz and Mes Kerman.
What is the prediction for Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman?
On our numbers Fard Alborz have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mes Kerman 29%.
How many goals will there be in Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 18% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman?
Our predicted score is Fard Alborz 0–0 Mes Kerman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman?
Fard Alborz vs Mes Kerman (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.