Value bet: Fard Alborz to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFard Alborz to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.72
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz preview and prediction
The match
The Azadegan League sees Shahrdari Noshahr take on Fard Alborz on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.7 for Shahrdari Noshahr and 0.8 for Fard Alborz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Fard Alborz to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Shahrdari Noshahr 0–0 Fard Alborz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shahrdari Noshahr34%fair 2.95 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.75
Fard Alborz39%fair 2.54 · @2.75
1.54Expected goals
0.72Shahrdari Noshahr xG
0.82Fard Alborz xG
37%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
0–117%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Shahrdari Noshahr 0.7 – 0.8 Fard Alborz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fard Alborz to win✗
39%
2.54
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.72
–
Form
Shahrdari Noshahr – last 2
LD
21 Feb
@ Naft Gachsaran
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Havadar
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fard Alborz – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Havadar
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shahrdari Noshahr and Fard Alborz.
What is the prediction for Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
On our numbers Shahrdari Noshahr have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fard Alborz 39%.
How many goals will there be in Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
Our predicted score is Shahrdari Noshahr 0–0 Fard Alborz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz?
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Fard Alborz (Azadegan League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Damash Gilanian0