Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.84
Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna preview and prediction
The match
Ethiopia Bunna travel to face Negelle Arsi in the Premier League on Thursday 26 February (16:00 WAT). Negelle Arsi are 1st with 11 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th on 4 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.3 for Negelle Arsi and 0.7 for Ethiopia Bunna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Negelle Arsi or draw – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Negelle Arsi 1–0 Ethiopia Bunna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Negelle Arsi47%fair 2.14 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.62
Ethiopia Bunna25%fair 3.95 · @3.50
2.00Expected goals
1.27Negelle Arsi xG
0.73Ethiopia Bunna xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Negelle Arsi 1.3 – 0.7 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✗
47%
2.14
2.15
Double chance
Negelle Arsi or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Negelle Arsi / FT Negelle Arsi✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.84
–
Form
Negelle Arsi – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Bunna
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Negelle Arsi and Ethiopia Bunna.
What is the prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our pick is Negelle Arsi or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
On our numbers Negelle Arsi have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ethiopia Bunna 25%.
How many goals will there be in Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our predicted score is Negelle Arsi 1–0 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dire Dawa Kenema0
Mekelle Kenema0