Value angle: Madureira to win at 2.66 – 40% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Madureira 1–1 Boavista SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Madureira40%fair 2.50 · @2.66
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.84
Boavista SC34%fair 2.95 · @2.78
2.14Expected goals
1.13Madureira xG
1.01Boavista SC xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Madureira 1.1 – 1.0 Boavista SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madureira to win✓
40%
2.50
2.66 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madureira / FT Madureira✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.50
–
Form
Madureira
No recent results on record.
Boavista SC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madureira and Boavista SC.
What is the prediction for Madureira vs Boavista SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Madureira vs Boavista SC?
On our numbers Madureira have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Boavista SC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Madureira vs Boavista SC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madureira vs Boavista SC?
Our predicted score is Madureira 1–1 Boavista SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Madureira vs Boavista SC?
Madureira vs Boavista SC (Carioca 1) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Conselheiro Galvão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estádio Conselheiro Galvão
