Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Aparecidense or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Aparecidense to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAparecidense to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceAparecidense or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.15
Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste preview and prediction
The match
The Goiano 1 sees Aparecidense take on Centro Oeste on Wednesday 18 February, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Aparecidense and 0.8 for Centro Oeste. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aparecidense 60%, draw 25%, Centro Oeste 14%.
Safer route: Aparecidense or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Aparecidense to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aparecidense or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aparecidense 1–0 Centro Oeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aparecidense60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Centro Oeste14%fair 6.99 · @3.45
2.74Expected goals
1.90Aparecidense xG
0.84Centro Oeste xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Aparecidense 1.9 – 0.8 Centro Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aparecidense to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Aparecidense or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.22
Half-time result
Aparecidense ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aparecidense / FT Aparecidense✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.15
–
Form
Aparecidense
No recent results on record.
Centro Oeste
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aparecidense and Centro Oeste.
What is the prediction for Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste?
Our pick is Aparecidense or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste?
On our numbers Aparecidense have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Centro Oeste 14%.
How many goals will there be in Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste?
Our predicted score is Aparecidense 1–0 Centro Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste?
Aparecidense vs Centro Oeste (Goiano 1) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Goiano 1 · Brazil
