Value bet: Ararat-Armenia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArarat-Armenia to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceArarat-Armenia or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.87
Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan preview and prediction
The match
Ararat-Armenia host Pyunik Yerevan in the Premier League on Wednesday 6 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Football Academy Stadium. Ararat-Armenia are 3rd with 29 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Pyunik Yerevan sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with FC Noah 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pyunik Yerevan's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat FC Urartu 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pyunik Yerevan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Ararat-Armenia and 0.8 for Pyunik Yerevan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Safer route: Ararat-Armenia or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Ararat-Armenia to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Pyunik Yerevan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ararat-Armenia59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Pyunik Yerevan17%fair 5.97 · @3.95
2.44Expected goals
1.67Ararat-Armenia xG
0.77Pyunik Yerevan xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 1.7 – 0.8 Pyunik Yerevan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ararat-Armenia or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ararat-Armenia / FT Ararat-Armenia✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.87
–
Form
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
DWLDWD
29 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Shirak
4–0
W
16 Apr
vs FC Noah
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Shirak
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Van
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pyunik Yerevan – last 6
WWDWWW
23 Apr
vs FC Urartu
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Shirak
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ FC Noah
2–2
D
21 Mar
@ Alashkert
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Alashkert
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Shirak
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat-Armenia and Pyunik Yerevan.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pyunik Yerevan 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Pyunik Yerevan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
