Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

Novorizontino

WWDWW
2–1
FT

Fortaleza EC

DDWDW

Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Novorizontino to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNovorizontino to win ✓67% · @1.73
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓90% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.12

Win chances

Novorizontino67%fair 1.50 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.50
Fortaleza EC10%fair 10.03 · @5.25
2.42Expected goals
1.84Novorizontino xG
0.58Fortaleza EC xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.8 – 0.6 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Novorizontino are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 10% for Fortaleza EC.

Novorizontino have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Fortaleza EC have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. Novorizontino come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Novorizontino, 0.6 for Fortaleza EC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (15%), 1–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Novorizontino have won 0, Fortaleza EC have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Novorizontino to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovorizontino to win ✓67%1.501.73 ▲
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓90%1.111.18 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.91
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Half-time resultNovorizontino ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✗43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.12–

Form

Novorizontino – last 6

WWDWWW
1 Novvs Operario-PR2–1W
24 Oct@ Atletico Goianiense1–0W
18 Oct@ Vila Nova2–2D
12 Octvs Ponte Preta5–1W
8 Oct@ Nautico Recife2–0W
2 Octvs Goias3–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fortaleza EC – last 6

DDWDWD
2 Novvs Atletico Goianiense0–0D
24 Oct@ Ponte Preta2–2D
17 Oct@ Sport Recife2–0W
12 Octvs CRB2–2D
8 Oct@ America Mineiro1–0W
3 Octvs Nautico Recife1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Fortaleza EC v Novorizontino1–0

More Serie B predictions

FT Vila Nova1 Criciuma0 382537 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✗ FT Cuiaba1 Juventude2 292447 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✗ FT Avai2 São Bernardo1 332344 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?

Our pick is Novorizontino to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?

On our numbers Novorizontino have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fortaleza EC 10%.

How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC?

Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.