Value bet: Avai to win @ 3.50 – our chance 39% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvai to win ✗39% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.63
Nautico Recife vs Avai preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Nautico Recife take on Avai on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT). Nautico Recife are 15th with 46 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Avai sit 17th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nautico Recife's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Juventude 0–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Avai's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Botafogo SP 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 July 2026, finished Avai 2–0 Nautico Recife.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Nautico Recife and 1.2 for Avai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Avai to win at 3.50 – 39% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Nautico Recife 1–1 Avai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nautico Recife37%fair 2.72 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Avai39%fair 2.55 · @3.50
2.33Expected goals
1.14Nautico Recife xG
1.19Avai xG
57%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.1 – 1.2 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Avai?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Avai?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avai 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Avai?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Avai?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–1 Avai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Avai?
Nautico Recife vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
