Value bet: Goias to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeara to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.75
Ceara vs Goias preview and prediction
The match
Goias travel to Estadio Castelão in the Serie B on Wednesday 28 October (00:00 WAT) to face Ceara. Ceara are 16th with 43 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Goias sit 7th on 58 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ceara's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Juventude 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goias's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Nautico Recife 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Goias 2–0 Ceara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Ceara and 1.0 for Goias. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ceara 44%, draw 22%, Goias 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Goias to win at 3.60 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Ceara 1–1 Goias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ceara44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Goias34%fair 2.95 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.22Ceara xG
1.03Goias xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.2 – 1.0 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ceara vs Goias?
On our numbers Ceara have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Goias 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Goias?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Goias?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 Goias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Goias?
Ceara vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
