Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Goianiense to win ✗69% · @1.29
Double chanceAtletico Goianiense or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense preview and prediction
The match
Ponte Preta host Atletico Goianiense in the Serie B on Friday 16 October, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Moisés Lucarelli. Ponte Preta are 20th with 15 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico Goianiense sit 8th on 58 points (in the top half). A gap of 43 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ponte Preta's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Novorizontino 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Atletico Goianiense's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Sport Recife 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Goianiense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Atletico Goianiense 2–0 Ponte Preta. Across their last 2 meetings Ponte Preta have won 0, Atletico Goianiense 2, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Ponte Preta and 1.8 for Atletico Goianiense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Goianiense to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Ponte Preta 0–1 Atletico Goianiense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ponte Preta14%fair 7.12 · @10.00
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @4.80
Atletico Goianiense69%fair 1.46 · @1.29
2.47Expected goals
0.63Ponte Preta xG
1.84Atletico Goianiense xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.6 – 1.8 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Atletico Goianiense to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atletico Goianiense 69%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense?
Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
