Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoias to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Goias vs Nautico Recife preview and prediction
The match
Goias host Nautico Recife in the Serie B on Monday 19 October, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estádio da Serrinha. Goias are 7th with 58 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Nautico Recife sit 15th on 46 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Goias's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Operario-PR 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Nautico Recife's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Vila Nova 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goias arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Nautico Recife 0–1 Goias.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Goias and 0.8 for Nautico Recife. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Goias to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Goias 1–0 Nautico Recife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goias60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.40
Nautico Recife20%fair 4.97 · @4.50
2.35Expected goals
1.60Goias xG
0.75Nautico Recife xG
48%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Goias 1.6 – 0.8 Nautico Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Goias vs Nautico Recife?
Our pick is Goias to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Goias vs Nautico Recife?
On our numbers Goias have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nautico Recife 20%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Nautico Recife?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Nautico Recife?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–0 Nautico Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Nautico Recife?
Goias vs Nautico Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Serrinha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
