Serie B · Brazil · Dr. Jorge Ismael de BiaseNovorizontino vs Goias prediction & analysis
Novorizontino to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.6 – 0.7 Goias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Novorizontino are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 18% for Goias.
Novorizontino have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Goias have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 for Novorizontino, 0.7 for Goias). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Novorizontino have won 1, Goias have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Novorizontino to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.63.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Novorizontino to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Novorizontino or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✓ | 37% | 2.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.50 | – |
Form
Novorizontino – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs São Bernardo | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Ceara | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Cuiaba | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Botafogo SP | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Avai | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Sport Recife | 2–1 | W |
Goias – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Atletico Goianiense | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Avai | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ Botafogo SP | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | @ Vila Nova | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Fortaleza EC | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs São Bernardo | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Jun 2026 | Goias v Novorizontino | 0–4 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Goias?
Our pick is Novorizontino to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Goias?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Goias 18%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Goias?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Novorizontino vs Goias?
Novorizontino vs Goias (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.