Novorizontino vs São Bernardo prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Novorizontino to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗67% · @1.50
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo preview and prediction
The match
São Bernardo travel to Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase in the Serie B on Friday 25 September (23:30 WAT) to face Novorizontino. Novorizontino are 1st with 70 points from 37 games (top of the table), while São Bernardo sit 11th on 52 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Novorizontino's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Ceara 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
São Bernardo's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Atletico Goianiense 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished São Bernardo 1–1 Novorizontino. Across their last 2 meetings Novorizontino have won 1, São Bernardo 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Novorizontino and 0.7 for São Bernardo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Novorizontino 67%, draw 20%, São Bernardo 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Novorizontino to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Novorizontino 1–0 São Bernardo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novorizontino67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.80
São Bernardo13%fair 7.57 · @6.00
2.53Expected goals
1.87Novorizontino xG
0.66São Bernardo xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.9 – 0.7 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Novorizontino to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and São Bernardo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
