Serie B · Brazil · Estadio Heriberto HülseCriciuma vs Avai prediction & analysis
Criciuma to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.6 – 0.5 Avai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Criciuma are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for Avai.
Criciuma have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Avai have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.6 for Criciuma, 0.5 for Avai). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Criciuma have won 1, Avai have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Criciuma to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Criciuma to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Criciuma or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.25 | – |
Form
Criciuma – last 6
| 22 Sep | vs Operario-PR | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Atletico Goianiense | 0–4 | L |
| 9 Sep | vs Juventude | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Cuiaba | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ CRB | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Fortaleza EC | 0–2 | L |
Avai – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Goias | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Vila Nova | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Fortaleza EC | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Novorizontino | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Atletico Goianiense | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Ponte Preta | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Avai v Criciuma | 1–2 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Avai?
Our pick is Criciuma to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Criciuma vs Avai?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Avai 14%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Avai?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Criciuma vs Avai?
Criciuma vs Avai (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heriberto Hülse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.