Serie B · Brazil · Estádio Rei PeléCRB vs Cuiaba prediction & analysis
CRB or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: CRB to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CRB 1.6 – 0.8 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
CRB hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 18% for Cuiaba.
CRB have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Cuiaba have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for CRB, 0.8 for Cuiaba). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, CRB have won 0, Cuiaba have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is CRB or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, CRB to win at 1.95 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CRB to win ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | CRB or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CRB / FT CRB ✓ | 34% | 2.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.54 | – |
Form
CRB – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Ponte Preta | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Sport Recife | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | @ Operario-PR | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs America Mineiro | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Criciuma | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | @ Juventude | 1–2 | L |
Cuiaba – last 6
| 22 Sep | vs Nautico Recife | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Novorizontino | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs Athletic Club | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Criciuma | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Botafogo SP | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Goias | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 1 Jun 2026 | Cuiaba v CRB | 2–0 |
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CRB vs Cuiaba?
Our pick is CRB or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CRB vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers CRB have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cuiaba 18%.
How many goals will there be in CRB vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is CRB vs Cuiaba?
CRB vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Rei Pelé.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.