Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo SP to win ✓66% · @1.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta preview and prediction
The match
Ponte Preta travel to Estadio Santa Cruz in the Serie B on Tuesday 29 September (23:30 WAT) to face Botafogo SP. Botafogo SP are 12th with 51 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Ponte Preta sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Botafogo SP's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Athletic Club 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ponte Preta's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat CRB 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 June 2026, finished Ponte Preta 0–0 Botafogo SP.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Botafogo SP and 0.7 for Ponte Preta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Botafogo SP to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Botafogo SP 1–0 Ponte Preta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo SP66%fair 1.51 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @5.00
Ponte Preta17%fair 5.91 · @13.00
2.53Expected goals
1.81Botafogo SP xG
0.72Ponte Preta xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.8 – 0.7 Ponte Preta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
Our pick is Botafogo SP to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ponte Preta 17%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–0 Ponte Preta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta?
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.