Value bet: America Mineiro to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventude to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.87
America Mineiro vs Juventude preview and prediction
The match
Juventude travel to Arena Independência in the Serie B on Monday 28 September (23:30 WAT) to face America Mineiro. America Mineiro are 19th with 29 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while Juventude sit 2nd on 68 points (in the top four). A gap of 39 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
America Mineiro's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Vila Nova 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Juventude's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Sport Recife 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Juventude 3–0 America Mineiro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for America Mineiro and 1.2 for Juventude. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: America Mineiro 33%, draw 22%, Juventude 45%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: America Mineiro to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: America Mineiro 0–1 Juventude. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America Mineiro33%fair 3.06 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Juventude45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
2.07Expected goals
0.92America Mineiro xG
1.15Juventude xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 0.9 – 1.2 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Juventude?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Juventude?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventude 45%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 0–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs Juventude?
America Mineiro vs Juventude (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
