Vila Nova vs America Mineiro preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Vila Nova take on America Mineiro on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Vila Nova are 3rd with 66 points from 37 games (in the top four), while America Mineiro sit 19th on 29 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vila Nova's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Avai 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
America Mineiro's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to São Bernardo 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Vila Nova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished America Mineiro 1–2 Vila Nova.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Vila Nova and 0.6 for America Mineiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vila Nova 71%, draw 18%, America Mineiro 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vila Nova to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Vila Nova 1–0 America Mineiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vila Nova71%fair 1.42 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.00
America Mineiro11%fair 8.74 · @7.50
2.50Expected goals
1.92Vila Nova xG
0.58America Mineiro xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.9 – 0.6 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Vila Nova to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Vila Nova have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and America Mineiro 11%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Vila Nova 1–0 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
Vila Nova vs America Mineiro (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
