Serie B · BrazilNautico Recife vs Operario-PR prediction & analysis
Nautico Recife or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Nautico Recife to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.7 – 0.8 Operario-PR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nautico Recife hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 16% for Operario-PR.
Nautico Recife have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Operario-PR have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Nautico Recife, 0.8 for Operario-PR). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Nautico Recife or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Nautico Recife to win at 1.95 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nautico Recife to win ✗ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Nautico Recife or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nautico Recife / FT Nautico Recife ✗ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.84 | – |
Form
Nautico Recife – last 6
| 10 Sep | @ America Mineiro | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Botafogo SP | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Athletic Club | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ São Bernardo | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | vs Ceara | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Ponte Preta | 1–1 | D |
Operario-PR – last 6
| 10 Sep | vs CRB | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Londrina | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Fortaleza EC | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs Vila Nova | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Aug | @ Cuiaba | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Avai | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nautico Recife and Operario-PR.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 |  Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 |  CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More Serie B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?
Our pick is Nautico Recife or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Operario-PR 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR?
Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.