Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: CRB to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCRB to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceCRB or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47
CRB vs Sport Recife preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees CRB take on Sport Recife on Wednesday 16 September, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estádio Rei Pelé. CRB are 6th with 58 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Sport Recife sit 9th on 55 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
CRB's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Operario-PR 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sport Recife's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Ponte Preta 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Sport Recife 1–2 CRB.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for CRB and 0.8 for Sport Recife. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CRB 61%, draw 23%, Sport Recife 15%.
Safer route: CRB or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.55.
Value angle: CRB to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CRB or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CRB 1–0 Sport Recife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CRB61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
Sport Recife15%fair 6.53 · @3.80
2.61Expected goals
1.82CRB xG
0.79Sport Recife xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: CRB 1.8 – 0.8 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is CRB or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CRB vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers CRB have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sport Recife 15%.
How many goals will there be in CRB vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CRB vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is CRB 1–0 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CRB vs Sport Recife?
CRB vs Sport Recife (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Rei Pelé.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
