Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo preview and prediction
The match
São Bernardo travel to Moisés Lucarelli in the Serie B on Sunday 6 September (22:30 WAT) to face Ponte Preta. Ponte Preta are 20th with 15 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while São Bernardo sit 11th on 52 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ponte Preta's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to America Mineiro 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
São Bernardo's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Goias 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
São Bernardo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.5 for Ponte Preta and 2.1 for São Bernardo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ponte Preta 8%, draw 19%, São Bernardo 73%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was São Bernardo to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ponte Preta 0–2 São Bernardo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ponte Preta8%fair 12.15 · @9.00
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.50
São Bernardo73%fair 1.37 · @1.33
2.62Expected goals
0.55Ponte Preta xG
2.07São Bernardo xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–216%
0–115%
0–311%
1–29%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.5 – 2.1 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Double chance
São Bernardo or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
São Bernardo ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
16%
6.40
–
Form
Ponte Preta – last 6
LLLDLD
30 Aug
@ America Mineiro
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Avai
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ Vila Nova
0–6
L
14 Aug
vs Nautico Recife
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Ceara
0–2
L
28 Jul
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
São Bernardo – last 6
LDDLWL
28 Aug
@ Goias
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Nautico Recife
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Fortaleza EC
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Botafogo SP
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Operario-PR
3–1
W
26 Jul
vs Ceara
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is São Bernardo to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 19% and São Bernardo 73%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–2 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo?
Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
