Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 4.20 – our chance 33% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCuiaba to win ✗45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Cuiaba take on Atletico Goianiense on Friday 24 July, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Arena Pantanal. Cuiaba are 13th with 47 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Goianiense sit 8th on 58 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cuiaba's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Juventude 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atletico Goianiense's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Athletic Club 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Cuiaba.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Cuiaba and 0.9 for Atletico Goianiense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Atletico Goianiense to win at 4.20 – 33% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cuiaba 1–0 Atletico Goianiense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cuiaba45%fair 2.23 · @1.96
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Atletico Goianiense33%fair 3.06 · @4.20
2.05Expected goals
1.14Cuiaba xG
0.91Atletico Goianiense xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cuiaba 1.1 – 0.9 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Cuiaba have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Goianiense 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Cuiaba 1–0 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense?
Cuiaba vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
