Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventude to win ✓58% · @1.84
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Juventude vs Vila Nova preview and prediction
The match
Juventude host Vila Nova in the Serie B on Friday 10 July, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi. Juventude are 2nd with 68 points from 37 games (in the top four), while Vila Nova sit 3rd on 66 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Juventude's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Nautico Recife 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vila Nova's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat São Bernardo 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Juventude and 0.7 for Vila Nova. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventude 58%, draw 25%, Vila Nova 17%.
Safer route: Juventude or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Juventude 1–1 Vila Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventude58%fair 1.72 · @1.84
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.25
Vila Nova17%fair 6.03 · @4.60
2.19Expected goals
1.45Juventude xG
0.74Vila Nova xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.5 – 0.7 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Juventude
Vila Nova
Attack vs Serie B average
+22%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.42
0.83
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✓
58%
1.72
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Juventude or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✓
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
Juventude – last 6
DWWWLW
6 Jul
@ Nautico Recife
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Ceara
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
3–0
W
6 Jun
@ Operario-PR
1–2
L
30 May
vs America Mineiro
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vila Nova – last 6
WLWLWW
6 Jul
vs São Bernardo
2–1
W
26 Jun
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Nautico Recife
4–3
W
14 Jun
@ Cuiaba
0–1
L
9 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
1–0
W
31 May
@ Londrina
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Vila Nova.
What is the prediction for Juventude vs Vila Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Juventude vs Vila Nova?
On our numbers Juventude have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vila Nova 17%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Vila Nova?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Vila Nova?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Vila Nova?
Juventude vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
