Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ceara to win @ 3.65 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGoias to win ✓42% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Goias vs Ceara preview and prediction
The match
Ceara travel to face Goias in the Serie B on Sunday 5 July (00:00 WAT). Goias are 7th with 58 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Ceara sit 16th on 43 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Goias's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Nautico Recife 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ceara's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Juventude 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Goias and 1.1 for Ceara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Goias 42%, draw 24%, Ceara 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Ceara to win at 3.65 – 34% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Goias 1–1 Ceara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Goias42%fair 2.35 · @2.16
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.00
Ceara34%fair 2.95 · @3.65
2.28Expected goals
1.23Goias xG
1.05Ceara xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Goias 1.2 – 1.1 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goias to win✓
42%
2.35
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goias / FT Goias✓
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Form
Goias – last 6
WLDLDW
28 Jun
@ Nautico Recife
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Operario-PR
0–3
L
14 Jun
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Novorizontino
0–4
L
30 May
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
24 May
@ Avai
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ceara – last 6
LLDWLW
28 Jun
@ Juventude
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Avai
2–1
W
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
17 May
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goias and Ceara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Goias vs Ceara?
On our numbers Goias have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ceara 34%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–1 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Ceara?
Goias vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
