Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 3.65 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSport Recife to win ✗46% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense preview and prediction
The match
Sport Recife host Atletico Goianiense in the Serie B on Friday 19 June, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho. Sport Recife are 9th with 55 points from 37 games (in the top half), while Atletico Goianiense sit 8th on 58 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sport Recife's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with São Bernardo 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Goianiense's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with CRB 3–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sport Recife arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Sport Recife and 1.0 for Atletico Goianiense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Recife 46%, draw 22%, Atletico Goianiense 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Atletico Goianiense to win at 3.65 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Recife46%fair 2.19 · @2.06
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Atletico Goianiense32%fair 3.12 · @3.65
2.30Expected goals
1.29Sport Recife xG
1.01Atletico Goianiense xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.3 – 1.0 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✗
46%
2.19
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Sport Recife – last 6
DDWLWW
14 Jun
@ São Bernardo
0–0
D
11 Jun
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
31 May
vs Nautico Recife
2–0
W
28 May
vs Fortaleza EC
0–2
L
24 May
@ Juventude
1–0
W
21 May
@ Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
DWDLDL
12 Jun
vs CRB
3–3
D
9 Jun
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
30 May
vs Goias
1–1
D
24 May
vs São Bernardo
0–1
L
17 May
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Gama
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Atletico Goianiense.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Goianiense 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
