Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Cuiaba to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCuiaba to win ✗40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.96
Avai vs Cuiaba preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Avai take on Cuiaba on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ressacada. Avai are 17th with 40 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Cuiaba sit 13th on 47 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Avai's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Londrina 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cuiaba's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Vila Nova 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cuiaba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Avai and 1.1 for Cuiaba. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avai 33%, draw 27%, Cuiaba 40%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Cuiaba to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Avai 0–1 Cuiaba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avai33%fair 3.04 · @2.52
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.86
Cuiaba40%fair 2.49 · @3.10
2.01Expected goals
0.94Avai xG
1.08Cuiaba xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Avai 0.9 – 1.1 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cuiaba to win✗
40%
2.49
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.96
–
Form
Avai – last 6
LLWLWL
16 Jun
@ Londrina
2–3
L
11 Jun
@ Ceara
1–2
L
4 Jun
vs Chapecoense-sc
3–0
W
30 May
vs Criciuma
1–2
L
27 May
vs Volta Redonda
3–0
W
24 May
vs Goias
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cuiaba – last 6
WWWLDL
14 Jun
vs Vila Nova
1–0
W
9 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs CRB
2–0
W
22 May
@ Nautico Recife
0–1
L
17 May
vs Novorizontino
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Anápolis
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avai and Cuiaba.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Avai vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers Avai have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cuiaba 40%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Cuiaba?
Our predicted score is Avai 0–1 Cuiaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Cuiaba?
Avai vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ressacada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
