Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 2.52 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCriciuma to win ✓43% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.82
America Mineiro vs Criciuma preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees America Mineiro take on Criciuma on Wednesday 24 June, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Arena Independência. America Mineiro are 19th with 29 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while Criciuma sit 4th on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
America Mineiro's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Fortaleza EC 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Criciuma's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Ceara 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Criciuma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for America Mineiro and 1.2 for Criciuma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: America Mineiro 33%, draw 24%, Criciuma 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Criciuma to win at 2.52 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: America Mineiro 1–1 Criciuma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America Mineiro33%fair 3.02 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.00
Criciuma43%fair 2.31 · @2.52
2.27Expected goals
1.03America Mineiro xG
1.24Criciuma xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 1.0 – 1.2 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✓
43%
2.31
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.82
–
Form
America Mineiro – last 6
WLLLWL
17 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
3–0
W
9 Jun
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
30 May
@ Juventude
0–3
L
24 May
vs Vila Nova
1–2
L
7 May
vs Cianorte
3–2
W
4 May
vs CRB
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Criciuma – last 6
DWWDDD
16 Jun
vs Ceara
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Londrina
1–0
W
30 May
@ Avai
2–1
W
25 May
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
17 May
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
10 May
@ Juventude
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and Criciuma.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Criciuma 43%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 1–1 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
America Mineiro vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
