Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 1.94 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCriciuma to win ✗63% · @1.94
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Criciuma vs Ceara preview and prediction
The match
Ceara travel to face Criciuma in the Serie B on Tuesday 16 June (01:00 WAT). Criciuma are 4th with 62 points from 37 games (in the top four), while Ceara sit 16th on 43 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Criciuma's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Londrina 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ceara's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Avai 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Criciuma and 0.6 for Ceara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Criciuma 63%, draw 21%, Ceara 16%.
Safer route: Criciuma or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Criciuma to win at 1.94 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Criciuma or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Criciuma 1–0 Ceara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Criciuma63%fair 1.59 · @1.94
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.15
Ceara16%fair 6.29 · @4.20
2.23Expected goals
1.61Criciuma xG
0.62Ceara xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.6 – 0.6 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✗
63%
1.59
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Criciuma or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Form
Criciuma – last 6
WWDDDL
6 Jun
vs Londrina
1–0
W
30 May
@ Avai
2–1
W
25 May
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
17 May
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
10 May
@ Juventude
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Fortaleza EC
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ceara – last 6
WLWLWL
11 Jun
vs Avai
2–1
W
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
17 May
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
7 May
@ Vitoria
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Maranhão
3–1
W
23 Apr
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Criciuma and Ceara.
Our pick is Criciuma or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Criciuma vs Ceara?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ceara 16%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Criciuma 1–0 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Criciuma vs Ceara?
Criciuma vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
