Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Criciuma to win @ 3.25 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCriciuma to win ✓39% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.01
Avai vs Criciuma preview and prediction
The match
Avai host Criciuma in the Serie B on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estádio da Ressacada. Avai are 17th with 40 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Criciuma sit 4th on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Avai's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Volta Redonda 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Criciuma's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Operario-PR 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Avai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Avai and 1.1 for Criciuma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avai 35%, draw 26%, Criciuma 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Criciuma to win at 3.25 – 39% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Avai 1–1 Criciuma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avai35%fair 2.84 · @2.34
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.98
Criciuma39%fair 2.56 · @3.25
2.22Expected goals
1.07Avai xG
1.15Criciuma xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Avai 1.1 – 1.1 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✓
39%
2.56
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma✓
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.01
–
Form
Avai – last 6
WLDLWW
27 May
vs Volta Redonda
3–0
W
24 May
vs Goias
0–2
L
20 May
@ Volta Redonda
2–2
D
17 May
@ Vila Nova
0–2
L
7 May
vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2–0
W
30 Apr
@ Novorizontino
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Criciuma – last 6
DDDLWL
25 May
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
17 May
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
10 May
@ Juventude
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Fortaleza EC
2–3
L
11 Apr
vs Botafogo SP
1–0
W
7 Apr
@ Goias
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avai and Criciuma.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Avai vs Criciuma?
On our numbers Avai have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Criciuma 39%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Criciuma?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Criciuma?
Avai vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio da Ressacada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
