Thursday, 12 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Serie B · Brazil · Estádio Santa Cruz

Botafogo SP

LDLLW
1–2
FT

Athletic Club

DLDLL

Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club prediction & analysis

88%
Footrivo pick

Botafogo SP or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Botafogo SP to win @ 1.95 – our chance 65% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultBotafogo SP to win ✗65% · @1.95
Double chanceBotafogo SP or draw ✗88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43

Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club preview and prediction

The match

Botafogo SP host Athletic Club in the Serie B on Monday 25 May, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estádio Santa Cruz. Botafogo SP are 12th with 51 points from 37 games (in the bottom half), while Athletic Club sit 14th on 47 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Botafogo SP's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Novorizontino 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Athletic Club's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Juventude 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Botafogo SP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Botafogo SP and 0.5 for Athletic Club. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Botafogo SP or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Botafogo SP 1–0 Athletic Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Botafogo SP65%fair 1.54 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.15
Athletic Club12%fair 8.64 · @4.20
2.20Expected goals
1.66Botafogo SP xG
0.54Athletic Club xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.7 – 0.5 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotafogo SP to win ✗65%1.541.95 ▲
Double chanceBotafogo SP or draw ✗88%1.131.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.901.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.561.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.43–

Form

Botafogo SP – last 6

LDLLWW
10 May@ Novorizontino0–1L
23 Apr@ Cuiaba1–1D
11 Apr@ Criciuma0–1L
6 Aprvs São Bernardo1–2L
1 Apr@ America Mineiro2–1W
21 Marvs Fortaleza EC4–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Athletic Club – last 6

DLDLLL
17 Mayvs Juventude1–1D
12 May@ Internacional2–3L
4 May@ Vila Nova1–1D
27 Aprvs Nautico Recife0–1L
23 Aprvs Internacional1–2L
20 Apr@ Novorizontino1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Botafogo SP and Athletic Club.

Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

More Serie B predictions

League hub
FT Operario-PR1 Criciuma1 144%2.25X23%3.05233%3.35 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?

Our pick is Botafogo SP or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?

On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Athletic Club 12%.

How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?

Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?

Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Santa Cruz.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.