Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPonte Preta to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Ponte Preta vs Londrina preview and prediction
The match
Londrina travel to Moisés Lucarelli in the Serie B on Monday 18 May (23:00 WAT) to face Ponte Preta. Ponte Preta are 20th with 15 points from 38 games (in the bottom three), while Londrina sit 18th on 35 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ponte Preta's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat America Mineiro 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Londrina's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to São Bernardo 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ponte Preta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Ponte Preta and 1.0 for Londrina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Ponte Preta 1–1 Londrina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ponte Preta48%fair 2.10 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Londrina29%fair 3.46 · @3.45
2.38Expected goals
1.38Ponte Preta xG
0.99Londrina xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 1.4 – 1.0 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ponte Preta to win✗
48%
2.10
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ponte Preta / FT Ponte Preta✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Form
Ponte Preta – last 6
WWDLWL
25 Apr
vs America Mineiro
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Avai
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Ceara
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Guarany de Bagé
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Londrina – last 6
LLLLDW
12 May
vs São Bernardo
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Juventude
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Sport Recife
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Goias
2–2
D
23 Mar
@ Novorizontino
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and Londrina.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Londrina 29%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 1–1 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
Ponte Preta vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
