Value bet: São Bernardo to win @ 3.15 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSão Bernardo to win ✓40% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Londrina vs São Bernardo preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Londrina take on São Bernardo on Tuesday 12 May, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias. Londrina are 18th with 32 points from 37 games (in the bottom three), while São Bernardo sit 11th on 52 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Londrina's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Juventude 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
São Bernardo's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Caxias 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Londrina and 1.3 for São Bernardo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Londrina 34%, draw 26%, São Bernardo 40%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: São Bernardo to win at 3.15 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Londrina 1–1 São Bernardo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Londrina34%fair 2.92 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.96
São Bernardo40%fair 2.50 · @3.15
2.39Expected goals
1.14Londrina xG
1.26São Bernardo xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Londrina 1.1 – 1.3 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✓
40%
2.50
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo✓
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.71
–
Form
Londrina – last 6
LLLDWL
26 Apr
@ Juventude
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Sport Recife
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Goias
2–2
D
23 Mar
@ Novorizontino
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Operario-PR
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
São Bernardo – last 6
DDLLWL
7 May
vs Caxias
1–1
D
30 Apr
@ Tombense
2–2
D
15 Apr
vs Cianorte
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Botafogo SP
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Londrina and São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Londrina vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Londrina vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Londrina have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and São Bernardo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Londrina vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Londrina vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Londrina vs São Bernardo?
Londrina vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
