Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Busan Transportation or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Busan Transportation to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBusan Transportation to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceBusan Transportation or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.22
Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong preview and prediction
The match
The K3 League sees Busan Transportation take on Yeoju Sejong on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Busan Gudeok Stadium. Busan Transportation are 4th with 43 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Yeoju Sejong sit 10th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Busan Transportation's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Mokpo City 1–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Yeoju Sejong's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Jeonbuk Motors II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Yeoju Sejong 1–1 Busan Transportation.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Busan Transportation and 0.9 for Yeoju Sejong. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Busan Transportation or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Busan Transportation to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Busan Transportation or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Busan Transportation 1–0 Yeoju Sejong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan Transportation59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.10
Yeoju Sejong16%fair 6.37 · @3.30
2.70Expected goals
1.84Busan Transportation xG
0.86Yeoju Sejong xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.8 – 0.9 Yeoju Sejong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan Transportation to win✓
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Busan Transportation or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Busan Transportation ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan Transportation / FT Busan Transportation✓
What is the prediction for Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?
Our pick is Busan Transportation or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?
On our numbers Busan Transportation have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Yeoju Sejong 16%.
How many goals will there be in Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?
Our predicted score is Busan Transportation 1–0 Yeoju Sejong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?
Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
