Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen preview and prediction
The match
Ulsan Citizen travel to face Yangpyeong in the K3 League on Friday 9 October (06:00 WAT). Yangpyeong are 13th with 20 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Ulsan Citizen sit 9th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Yangpyeong's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Changwon City 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Ulsan Citizen's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Siheung Citizen 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ulsan Citizen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Yangpyeong and 1.4 for Ulsan Citizen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Yangpyeong 1–1 Ulsan Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yangpyeong34%fair 2.93 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Ulsan Citizen42%fair 2.39 · @2.45
2.67Expected goals
1.25Yangpyeong xG
1.42Ulsan Citizen xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Yangpyeong 1.3 – 1.4 Ulsan Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulsan Citizen to win✗
42%
2.39
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ulsan Citizen / FT Ulsan Citizen✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Form
Yangpyeong – last 6
LLLLDL
3 Oct
@ Changwon City
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Pocheon
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Siheung Citizen
1–3
L
29 Aug
@ Daejeon Korail
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Gyeongju HNP
3–3
D
26 Jul
vs Busan Transportation
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ulsan Citizen – last 6
LWLWWL
3 Oct
vs Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Daejeon Korail
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Gyeongju HNP
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Busan Transportation
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
1–0
W
19 Aug
vs Gwangju FC
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yangpyeong and Ulsan Citizen.
What is the prediction for Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?
On our numbers Yangpyeong have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ulsan Citizen 42%.
How many goals will there be in Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?
Our predicted score is Yangpyeong 1–1 Ulsan Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?
Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
