Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChangwon City to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18
Changwon City vs Yangpyeong preview and prediction
The match
Yangpyeong travel to face Changwon City in the K3 League on Saturday 3 October (06:00 WAT). Changwon City are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Yangpyeong sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Changwon City's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Gyeongju HNP 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Yangpyeong's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Pocheon 0–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Yangpyeong 1–0 Changwon City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Changwon City and 1.0 for Yangpyeong. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Changwon City 58%, draw 20%, Yangpyeong 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Changwon City to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Changwon City 1–0 Yangpyeong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Changwon City58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.10
Yangpyeong22%fair 4.58 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.78Changwon City xG
0.97Yangpyeong xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.8 – 1.0 Yangpyeong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
Our pick is Changwon City to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Yangpyeong 22%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–0 Yangpyeong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
Changwon City vs Yangpyeong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
